XRP Price Falls — But a Bigger Bounce May Be Brewing

XRP has struggled to reclaim upward momentum after multiple failed recovery attempts over the past few weeks. 

Market conditions have kept the altcoin subdued, but the recent consolidation may be setting the stage for a rebound. Indicators now show early signs of stabilization, hinting at renewed bullish potential.

What Are The Indicators Saying About XRP?

The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio highlights improving conditions for XRP. The indicator has declined steadily in recent days, signaling that the asset is not in danger of being overbought. A lower NVT suggests healthy network activity relative to valuation, laying the groundwork for sustainable price growth.

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This lack of excessive volatility is beneficial for XRP’s next move. It indicates a balanced market environment where price shifts are driven by organic demand rather than speculation. This stability is vital for building a strong foundation for a potential breakout in the near term.

The Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (STH-NUPL) ratio is currently in the capitulation zone. Typically, this would be concerning during a prolonged bear market, but historical data suggests otherwise for XRP. Each dip into this zone in past cycles has preceded a significant rally in the following weeks.

As long as STH-NUPL remains above the -0.2 threshold, the outlook remains positive. This positioning shows that investor losses have not yet reached extreme levels, leaving room for recovery.

XRP Price Can Bounce Back

XRP price is currently trading at $2.33, just under the $2.35 resistance zone. Breaching this critical level is essential for confirming a short-term recovery. This will also likely reestablish bullish sentiment among traders.

If XRP can secure a breakout above $2.35, it could rise toward $2.54 and possibly $2.80, reversing recent declines. Such a move would reinforce market confidence and attract stronger inflows from sidelined investors.

However, if bullish conditions fail to materialize, XRP may slip through the $2.27 support level it has held for weeks. A drop below this point could drag the price down to $2.13, invalidating the bullish thesis and extending the correction phase.