Will The Long-Awaited Monad Airdrop Happen In October?

Monad announced that its Airdrop Claims Portal will open next week, spurring a lot of community hype. However, there are also lingering doubts that the full airdrop is nowhere near ready.

For example, Polymarket traders became slightly more bullish on an October airdrop after this announcement, but it wasn’t a huge shift. Most users believe that it’ll fully take place in November or even later.

Is Monad’s Airdrop Ready?

The Monad airdrop has been hotly anticipated for several months, and the hype has been growing even more recently. Last month, co-founder Keone Hon claimed that the total initial supply of native gas tokens on Monad would be 100 billion, bringing huge liquidity to its blockchain network.

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Yesterday, Monad made a cryptic statement about the airdrop, showing a progress bar that was nearly completed. This morning, the firm was more direct, stating that the Airdrop Claim Portal would open in less than a week:

This apparent confirmation of a Monad airdrop has attracted a lot of hype; the post gained over a million views in less than two hours.

However, there has also been a lot of community skepticism, noting that this doesn’t directly address an actual airdrop. The claims portal is an important step, but it isn’t the full picture.

Prediction market trading can helpfully illustrate community sentiment around this announcement. On Polymarket, less than 40% of traders believe that the Monad airdrop will actually happen this month.

Their enthusiasm has risen a little this morning, but these traders largely believe that it’ll happen in November.

Furthermore, some commentators have pointed out that Monad’s progress bars can be overly optimistic. Although the company made periodic claims that the devnet was almost complete last year, this dragged on for around a month. The Monad testnet only launched in February 2025, but it’s unclear how much progress has been made since.

In other words, there’s some lingering skepticism, but the community is still very excited about a Monad airdrop. The project has been trending, and explicit confirmation will likely be a huge event. Until it happens, however, we’ll have to keep waiting.