Is This Just a Breather Before the Next Leg Up?

Bitcoin (BTC) surged to a new all-time high of $124,400 on early Thursday, fueled by strong institutional demand, bullish technicals, and favorable U.S. policy shifts. The move pushed the overall crypto market cap to a record $4.18 trillion.

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The rally followed a decisive breakout above key technical levels, including the 7-day SMA at $118,892 and the 200-day EMA at $101,566.

The MACD histogram widened to its most bullish reading since July 2025, while the RSI14 at 68.5 suggests there’s still room before hitting overbought conditions. Fibonacci projections now place BTC’s next major resistance near $126,870.

However, after briefly surpassing $124K, Bitcoin retraced to around $121,800, prompting traders to ask whether this is simply consolidation before the next surge.

Institutional Demand and Policy Support Driving Momentum

Corporate and institutional accumulation remains a major driver. SpaceX continues to hold 8,285 BTC worth over $1 billion, while Thumzup Media recently announced a $50 million crypto treasury. These moves mirror Metaplanet’s purchase of 2,205 BTC earlier this week.

Political tailwinds are also in play. U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration has rolled back banking restrictions on crypto firms and signed legislation opening retirement accounts to digital asset investments.

The GENIUS Act, introducing the country’s first federal stablecoin framework, has further boosted market confidence.

ETF inflows have accelerated, with U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs pulling in over $1 billion in net weekly inflows. Total ETF holdings now stand at $154 billion, signaling deep institutional interest.

BTC's price records some losses after a major spike on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview 

Bitcoin (BTC) Pundits Eye $150K If Momentum Holds

Despite a notable July sell-off by long-term holders, the largest since 2021, market analysts see the pullback as a healthy pause. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus Crypto Platform, views $120K as a new “sturdy floor” and $126K as the breakout point that could open the path toward $150,000.

“With strong macro tailwinds, robust ETF demand, and rising corporate adoption, every dip may be viewed as a buying opportunity rather than a reversal signal,” noted Himanshu Maradiya, Chairman of CIFDAQ.

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If bullish sentiment persists, Bitcoin could soon challenge higher psychological levels, making this latest pullback less a warning sign and more a pit stop before the next leg up.

Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview