According to sector research, perpetual DEXs processed more than $2.6 trillion in trades during 2025. These venues are gradually displacing centralized exchanges by offering custody-free leverage and faster execution.
Yet, their rise also raises questions about transparency, token stability, and the long-term meaning of decentralization. As a result, the sector may evolve into a durable pillar of DeFi or face challenges tied to its design.
Market Surges to Records
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Dune dashboards showed daily perp volumes above $67B in September. Hyperliquid, Aster, and Lighter each cleared $10B, sparking debate on possible wash trading.
Background Context
FTX’s collapse shattered trust in CEX custody. In addition, 21Shares likened perps to “renting a house”—flexible but costly—showing why they became DeFi’s core engine.
Deeper Analysis
CoinShares reported 210% growth in 2024, with Hyperliquid volumes up 25x. Jupiter rose 5,176% and Drift 628%. As 21Shares research noted, cumulative perp trades hit $2.6T in 2025, up 138%.
Behind the Scenes
Bybit compared Hyperliquid’s L1 to Aster’s BNB-first design. ASTER surged 300% post-launch, driven by CZ. Aster briefly overtook Hyperliquid. Consequently, analysts noted that decentralization is now often described as an “illusion”—speed is table stakes, story decisive.
Industry Faces Structural Shift
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Wider Impact
Perp DEX share rose from <10% in 2023 to 26% in 2025. DefiLlama observed that the top four venues control 77% of the total. Moreover, traders are moving toward revenue protocols and away from empty meme tokens.
Essential Facts
| Platform | Sept 2025 Volume | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| Hyperliquid | ~$200B | ~$13.2B |
| Aster | ~$20B | ~$2.5B |
| dYdX | ~$7B monthly | $1.5T cumulative |
| Others | Smaller | Expanding |
Looking Forward
OAK Research projected Hyperliquid’s share could stay at 4.5% bear, 6% base, and 8% bull. Messari even called it an “on-chain Binance.”
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Bitwise’s Max Shannon told BeInCrypto that the addressable market could expand far beyond current levels. If decentralized perps keep capturing share from CEXs, annual volumes may reach $20–30 trillion within five years. He noted that leverage and trading churn amplify growth beyond spot volumes, with institutional adoption and regulatory clarity acting as further catalysts.
Clouds Over Rapid Expansion
Risks & Challenges
DefiIgnas warned HYPE is not FTX or Luna but reflexivity persists. Hayes commented on Aster, while others predicted extreme HYPE upside. CZ said dark pools shield institutions from MEV and liquidation hunting but reduce transparency.
Shannon also warned that with daily volumes already surpassing $67B, regulators may view perp DEXs as systemic. He suggested future oversight could mandate registered interfaces, standardized oracles, audited insurance funds, and formalized risk controls—especially if loss-sharing events threaten stablecoins or if open interest rivals that of centralized exchanges.
Expert Opinions
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Perp DEXs can fail, but not like FTX. Their weak points are structural rather than fraudulent, and the risks are transparent and on-chain.
— Max Shannon, Bitwise, told BeInCrypto
“Hyperliquid has everything it takes to become the House of Finance,” analysts stated.
— OAK Research
“More players will grow the market size faster. Rising tide lifts all boats,” said CZ on X.
— Binance founder
Perp DEXs are proliferating, supported by advances in execution speed and liquidity depth. However, their future depends on whether participants balance incentives with consistent governance and credible token models. In addition, if execution continues to improve but trust weakens, adoption may slow.
By contrast, if projects combine strong infrastructure with sustainable economics, the sector could become a central engine of DeFi liquidity and a foundation for broader market integration.
Source link
Shota Oba
https://beincrypto.com/perp-dexs-hyperliquid-aster-growth-risks/
2025-09-26 09:40:00
