Bitcoin Price’s Hold on $115,000 Could Slip—Here’s the Risk

Bitcoin has been in an active uptrend since the beginning of the month, climbing steadily toward higher resistance levels. 

However, the momentum could be tested soon as investors begin showing signs of caution. A short-term shift in sentiment may weaken Bitcoin’s grip on the $115,000 support.

Bitcoin Holders Move To Sell

The distribution among Bitcoin holders highlights that selling pressure remains a key factor in the market. Most investor cohorts are holding below the 0.5 threshold, suggesting limited appetite for accumulation. This keeps the broader sentiment aligned with distribution, where investors prioritize securing profits rather than building positions.

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At the same time, no group of Bitcoin holders is showing accumulation levels beyond 0.8, a threshold that would typically indicate conviction-driven buying. Without strong inflows from long-term investors or whales, the market remains trapped in a neutral-to-distribution regime, limiting the likelihood of a decisive breakout.

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From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s momentum is beginning to show subtle cracks. The relative strength index (RSI), which recently hovered in bullish territory, is now showing a slight dip. While the indicator remains supportive of an uptrend, this soft decline signals fading strength among buyers.

If the weakening RSI continues, Bitcoin could face a short-term pullback before regaining traction. Traders often interpret this as a sign that bullish momentum is cooling, opening the door for a temporary dip in price. For BTC, this could mean retesting lower supports before another push higher.

BTC Price May Bounce Back

Bitcoin is trading at $114,770, slipping below the $115,000 support level in the process. Should bearish sentiment persist, BTC may fall further, potentially testing the uptrend line that has supported its rise since the start of the month. This would mark a crucial point for investors.

If selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $115,000 as support and slide toward $112,500. This would represent a critical setback, reinforcing the ongoing distribution phase observed among holders and limiting near-term upside potential for BTC.

On the other hand, if Bitcoin absorbs the selling pressure and regains momentum, reclaiming $115,000 as support could trigger another rally. In this case, BTC would target $117,261 in the coming days, reaffirming its bullish outlook and reinforcing investor confidence.