Dogecoin traded through heavy volatility over the August 24–26 window, swinging within a $0.013 range before consolidating near $0.21. A sharp drop from $0.218 to $0.208 on August 25 came amid massive 1.57 billion volume, while broader pressure was tied to a 900 million DOGE transfer to Binance that unsettled traders.
Despite near-term caution, whales continue accumulating, leaving sentiment split between breakdown risks and dip-buying optimism.
News Background
- Whale transfers added fuel to volatility: between August 24–25, a single 900 million DOGE ($200+ million) was moved to Binance from a long-term holding wallet.
- Market sentiment soured on fears of a sell-off, with open interest in DOGE futures dropping 8% as speculative traders pared exposure.
- Despite the inflow, on-chain data shows whales accumulated over 680 million DOGE in August, countering retail distribution.
- Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole comments sparked a 12% meme coin sector rally, aligning DOGE with broader risk-on momentum.
Price Action Summary
- DOGE posted a 6.06% spread in the 23-hour session ending August 26 at 12:00, trading between $0.221 and $0.208.
- The sharpest move came during 19:00–20:00 GMT on August 25, when DOGE fell from $0.218 to $0.208 on 1.57 billion volume.
- Price also whipsawed after the whale transfer, swinging from a $0.25 high to test $0.23 support before stabilizing.
- A rebound lifted DOGE from $0.210 session lows to $0.211–$0.212 in the 11:27–12:26 GMT window on August 26, aided by a 17.85 million volume spike at 11:58.
Technical Analysis
- Support established at $0.208 following the high-volume drop.
- Resistance holds at $0.218–$0.221, capping rallies.
- Current consolidation between $0.210–$0.212 suggests accumulation.
- RSI recovered from oversold levels near 42 to mid-50s, showing stabilizing momentum.
- MACD histogram narrowing toward bullish crossover, signaling potential upside reversal.
- Open interest decline of 8% points to reduced speculative leverage, limiting volatility but also dampening near-term upside.
- Sustained trading above $0.21 with elevated volumes (+16% vs. 30-day averages) strengthens bullish case.
What Traders Are Watching
- Bulls target a breakout toward $0.23–$0.24 if consolidation resolves upward and whale buying persists.
- Bears highlight $0.208 as the key downside trigger, with a break opening risk toward $0.200.
- The tug-of-war between exchange inflows (distribution risk) and whale accumulation (supportive demand) remains the decisive factor for the next leg.
Source link
Shaurya Malwa
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/08/26/dogecoin-jumps-to-21-cents-despite-usd200m-whale-transfer-to-binance
2025-08-26 15:44:00
