Could On-Chain Momentum Signal a 70% Run Ahead?

While most cryptocurrencies saw steep declines amid a $1.05 billion liquidation wave, Cardano (ADA) stood out as the only top-50 asset in the green.

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Despite an 11% dip after topping $1.00 for the first time since March, ADA quickly recovered, hovering between $0.89 and $0.91 and signaling strong buyer support on dips.

The resilience came even as Bitcoin retreated from its $124,128 all-time high to the $118K–$119K zone and broader macroeconomic pressures weighed on risk assets. Analysts believe ADA’s ability to maintain momentum despite market turbulence strengthens its bullish case.

Cardano (ADA)’s Technical Breakout Points to 70% Upside

Market analyst Ali Martinez notes that ADA has finally broken out of a descending channel that’s been in place since its December 2024 peak at $1.32. This move mirrors price action from the 2020–2021 cycle, when ADA consolidated in a similar pattern before rallying to an all-time high of $3.09.

With the breakout confirmed above $0.84, Martinez projects a potential 70% run toward $1.50. Other analysts, like Crypto Yhodda, point to the repeating pattern from the last cycle, suggesting ADA could next target $1.80 before attempting a breakout toward new multi-dollar highs.

Key support now lies between $0.80 and $1.00, with a sustained close above $1.02 likely confirming the next leg upward. Should bullish momentum hold, upside targets include $1.20, $1.50, and potentially $3.10 in a multi-month rally.

ADA's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview

On-Chain and Institutional Signals Boost Confidence

ADA’s fundamentals are also backing the bullish case. On-chain activity has surged to 2.6 million daily transactions, with low fees of $0.12 enabling mass adoption, especially in emerging markets.

The ADAV2 upgrade, featuring zero-knowledge smart contracts, decentralized governance, and Hydra scaling up to 1 million TPS, is attracting enterprise interest.

Institutional adoption is accelerating as well. Grayscale has increased ADA’s allocation in its Smart Contract Platform Ex-Ethereum Fund to 20%, and the SEC is reviewing a dedicated ADA ETF. A favorable decision could unlock billions in inflows, mirroring Ethereum’s post-ETF rally.

Bottom Line

With technical breakout patterns aligning with on-chain strength and growing institutional interest, Cardano’s 2025 rally may be far from over.

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If current support zones hold, ADA could be poised for a 70% surge, challenging key resistance levels and potentially redefining its place among top altcoins.

Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview