Cardano’s Case for a 200% Rally: ETF Odds, Whale Activity, and Golden Cross Cardano’s Case for a 200% Rally: ETF Odds, Whale Activity, and Golden Cross

Cardano’s Case for a 200% Rally: ETF Odds, Whale Activity, and Golden Cross

Cardano (ADA) is drawing strong attention from investors. Multiple signals, both technical and on-chain, suggest a major rally may be on the horizon.

Recently, Cardano reclaimed the $1 mark for the first time in over five months. Could this be when ADA transitions from a promising altcoin to the centerpiece of the entire crypto market?

Multiple Bullish Signals for Cardano

Several factors could drive this latest surge in Cardano (ADA). Notably, the likelihood of an ADA-based ETF being approved is rising significantly, with the probability estimated at up to 80%.

ADA broke $1 mark. Source: TradingView

At the same time, Grayscale has officially filed for an HBAR & ADA ETF, potentially opening the door for institutional capital to flow into Cardano.

Data from TapTools also shows that futures traders on Hyperliquid are currently more bullish on ADA than on XRP, Solana, ETH, and BTC. In addition, the Cardano network has surpassed 3.1 million ADA-holding wallets, showing the project’s appeal to the global investor community.

Futures traders on Hyperliquid are currently bullish on ADA. Source: TapTools
Futures traders on Hyperliquid are currently bullish on ADA. Source: TapTools

Technical Analysis and On-Chain Data Reinforce Bullish Outlook

Technically, ADA is at a crucial threshold, and many experts believe a breakout is imminent. Analyst Ali forecasts that ADA could surge to $1.50 if it breaks through current resistance levels.

Ali also notes that the current price structure mirrors the previous cycle—albeit moving more slowly—suggesting this could be the early stage of an explosive rally.

ADA price projection. Source: Ali
ADA price projection. Source: Ali

In particular, a “Golden Cross” signal is forming when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. According to another analyst, the last time this signal appeared, ADA rallied by 230%, and if a similar scenario unfolds, the price could reach $3 in less than a month.

Furthermore, Tom Crown predicts a potential 232% rally to $1.687 if the Golden Cross completes.

Golden Cross signal on the ADA chart. Source: deezy_BTC
Golden Cross signal on the ADA chart. Source: Deezy

On-chain data further strengthens the bullish case. According to analysis from Alphractal, long-term investors have consistently accumulated ADA since 2021 without significant distribution.

Meanwhile, short-term investors have shown a slight accumulation trend in recent days.

Recently, whales have also purchased over 200 million ADA, signaling high confidence from large-cap holders. Risk-adjusted return metrics also trend upward, reflecting increased profit potential amid controlled volatility.

Adjusted Sharpe ratio. Source: Alphractal 
Adjusted Sharpe ratio. Source: Alphractal 

“Long-term holders remain strong and are still accumulating. Short-term selling pressure is low. Risk and temperature metrics do not yet signal market euphoria. Rising adjusted Sharpe Ratio could be a sign of strong upcoming moves for ADA Cardano.” Alphractal concluded

Bringing these factors together, Cardano stands at a pivotal moment. If favorable conditions converge, ADA could fully reclaim its all-time high and open a new chapter in Cardano’s journey in 2025.

The post Cardano’s Case for a 200% Rally: ETF Odds, Whale Activity, and Golden Cross appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Linh Bùi

https://beincrypto.com/cardano-breaks-1-amid-etf-hopes/

2025-08-14 08:41:00

bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 121,384.00 0.94%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 4,350.30 2.61%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00 0.02%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 1,242.10 4.51%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.82 1.56%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 221.43 0.29%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 0.999757 0.00%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.245697 3.31%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 4,348.57 2.41%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.336793 0.06%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.808321 1.57%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 5,287.51 2.47%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 121,397.00 0.72%
wrapped-beacon-eth
Wrapped Beacon ETH (WBETH) $ 4,692.80 2.57%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00 0.00%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 21.61 2.03%
figure-heloc
Figure Heloc (FIGR_HELOC) $ 1.02 2.01%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 3.38 2.40%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.377637 1.68%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 28.14 1.06%
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 43.16 6.01%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 4,690.28 2.49%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 578.34 0.27%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 4,350.03 2.47%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 118.75 1.69%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.212427 2.57%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.67 0.02%
binance-bridged-usdt-bnb-smart-chain
Binance Bridged USDT (BNB Smart Chain) (BSC-USD) $ 0.999304 0.13%
coinbase-wrapped-btc
Coinbase Wrapped BTC (CBBTC) $ 121,387.00 0.84%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 2.49 0.25%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 0.99982 0.01%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000012 1.73%
usdt0
USDT0 (USDT0) $ 1.00 0.00%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 2.72 0.25%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.191612 4.14%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 43.46 1.52%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 333.90 0.65%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 4.03 2.88%
ethena-staked-usde
Ethena Staked USDe (SUSDE) $ 1.20 0.05%
world-liberty-financial
World Liberty Financial (WLFI) $ 0.175451 2.29%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 7.79 1.55%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 0.999162 0.00%
okb
OKB (OKB) $ 210.20 4.91%
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 273.47 2.52%
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 5.69 0.39%
ethena
Ethena (ENA) $ 0.547401 1.90%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000009 1.68%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 2.87 1.46%
memecore
MemeCore (M) $ 2.07 0.41%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 4.92 5.41%