What to know:
- XRP traded in a narrow 4.08% range between $2.82 and $2.93 from July 15 04:00 to July 16 03:00, closing at $2.89 for a 1.8% daily gain.
- Corporate breakout attempts above $2.92–$2.93 failed four times (12:00, 13:00, 17:00, 18:00) as coordinated institutional selling emerged.
- Market makers and treasury desks provided strong support around $2.85, with volumes exceeding the 78.9 million daily average during 14:00 and 19:00 accumulation windows.
- Final-hour move from $2.88 to $2.90 (+0.69%) came after a decline to $2.87, supported by 2 million+ token volume bursts — classic institutional footprint.
News Background
As ProShares’ XRP Futures ETF approaches its July 18 launch, institutions appear to be rotating positions aggressively around key thresholds.
While $3.00 remains the headline target, structured selling at $2.93 and consistent buy-side activity around $2.85 suggest tight-range rebalancing by corporate treasury desks.
Regulatory ambiguity continues to limit upside, with several desks unwilling to cross full allocation thresholds until ETF flows normalize.
Price Action Summary
- Range: $2.82 → $2.93 | Spread: $0.12 = 4.08%
- Failed Breakouts: $2.92–$2.93 rejections at 12:00, 13:00, 17:00, 18:00
- Support Zone: $2.85 demand during 14:00 and 19:00 sessions
- Final Hour (02:33–03:32): XRP rose from $2.88 → $2.90 (+0.69%)
- Volume Spikes: Over 2 million tokens traded at 02:36–02:42, confirming accumulation
Technical Analysis
- Price remains in tight consolidation channel under $3.00 psychological ceiling
- $2.85 continues to act as a key liquidity zone, with treasury activity concentrated near this level
- Resistance at $2.93 holds — confirming near-term indecision
- Classic pattern of higher lows forming intraday, despite rejection at upper boundary
- Momentum requires clear break above $2.93 with volume above 100 million for continuation
What Traders Are Watching
- Will XRP break $2.93 ahead of the July 18 ETF launch, or fade into range-bound drift?
- Accumulation zones near $2.85 suggest positioning ahead of potential volatility spike
- Breakout above $3.00 would likely trigger corporate allocation upgrades across structured portfolios
- Failure to hold $2.88 could unwind recovery structure and target $2.82 retest
Takeaway
XRP is consolidating under pressure. Institutions are accumulating — but not yet committing above $2.93.
The ETF catalyst is near. Until then, this is a volume game: support at $2.85 holds the floor; resistance at $2.93 sets the ceiling. Break either — and momentum will follow.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.
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Shaurya Malwa
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/07/16/xrp-builds-higher-lows-293-breakout-would-signal-trend-shift
2025-07-16 05:50:09
